NC, VA well be toss-up/lean Democratic after this election.
NC is going to leapfrog left after this election and catch Virginia and go even further? When will this madness stop? 2016 will be when it's a tossup, not 2012. VA might be tossup in 2012.
NC is the only state in the south to move leftward while the country moved rightward. So if the country moves leftward, NC will move much more leftward then the Nation, Right?
Virginia was about +6% GOP in 2004 and +8% in 2000. NC was +11 GOP in 2004 and +13 in 2000. I never denied NC was moving left, but +11% more GOP and +8% or so in 2008 doesn't mean it will be a tossup/lean Democrat in 2012 unless it LEAPS left much faster than Virginia, and NC lacks a Fairfax county like area that is growing fast with tons of liberals. Wake County is growing, but it isn't as liberal and isn't as big.
I think NC has a decent chance of being in the toss up category by 2012. Its not just Wake County and the rest of the Research Triangle that is moving left, but Buncombe (Asheville) Guilford (Greensboro) and Mecklenburg (Charlotte) which has moved left. Both Wake and Mecklenburg will be very close or beyond 1 million people by 2012.
