Does anyone know why Inner NOVA trended right in 2020? By this I mean Arlington + Alexandria + Falls Church area + McLean. Splitting the core NOVA counties (Loudoun, Fairfax, PW and all those that lie within) in two, you can yield a half where Trump got a higher percentage of the two party vote in 2020 than he did in 2016. That area is basically Inner Nova + east PWC.
It's not like the two halves are all that much different.
Half one: Clinton +51, Biden +50, 15% Black, 14% Asian, 19% Latino, 61% College Educated, $154k MHI
Half two: Clinton +23, Biden +32, 9% Black, 19% Asian, 16% Latino, 60% College Educated, $175k MHI.
Obviously the first half is more Black/Latino and less Asian, but not hugely. It has higher educational attainment and lower income, which would usually cause a greater D swing.
My thought is that Clinton really embodied a well off professional type and that played well in the rich areas of NOVA plus she did better with non-Whites. This is a place that would've swung basically everywhere else though.
Where are you seeing this area trended right?
Alexandria
Clinton +58.1
Biden +62.7
Arlington
Clinton +59.2
Biden +63.5
Falls Church
Clinton +57.9
Biden +64.1
I didn't look up McLean, but the other three all trended more towards Biden than the national #'s
