I have a felling the state will go Republican in 08, Because NH doesn't like people like Hillary.
As demonstrated by 2006 NH also shows no favoritism for the War in Iraq. No pro-war candidate was a shot in hell here.
What about Chuck Hagel?
1. Hagel could never win the GOP nomination
2. Too socially conservative for N.H
However the Iraq war is the biggest issue everywhere and Hagel is more liberal then Hillary on Iraq, So when you're saying that someone like Rudt coun't win in NH because of his support for the Iraq war you're forgeting about an ant-war Republican.
At this point I don't really think ANY Republican could win N.H. Hagel has no chance at the GOP nom, so the point is mute. But if you would even assume he could, I'm not forgetting about an anti-war Republican, I'm just saying being anti war isn't going to win you the state, if your views on other issues don't match up well to the state, which Hagel's don't, especially on social issues.
Different issues hurt different candidates. Being in the GOP alone, hurts them in the state at this point. Rudy's social views are more in line with the state, but his Iraq views bury him, while Hagel's Iraq views might be more in line with his state his views on other issues, social issues especially would bury him there.
Now if you would have a candidate who had Rudy's social views, combined with Hagel's Iraq views than maybe you have somewhat of an argument, more so with a Lincoln Chafee type, but outside of that no, the state has just shifted too much.