Rasmussen: Kean(R) has a 5 pt edge on Menendez(D)

[Smash255]

Looking at down with the left's list there I just had to laugh,  I think the best was bringing up Bush's better 2004 performance, and then mentioning Corzine's approvals.  When Corzine is in MUCH better shape in the state NOW than Bush is....  Rather interesting there got to say

[Smash255]

Conan I think when the next QU poll come out I think Menendez will be up, that was a summer poll the last time they took it and it overstated republican support. I think Menendez will lead the next one.

Thats whats been happening for the most part all the race. I also did some research on past elections in NJ and the undecideds the day or a few days before the election was still around 10%+. Obviously those went to Democrats. Besides, this race hasnt even started yet, there havent been any commercials or flyers.

That is how NJ usually votes.  The late voters break one way or another and swing the race.  Not always, however.  In 2004, according to exit polls, they went for Bush.  Kerry had a big enough lead that the 10% of the electorate that decided in the last three days did not go strong enough for Bush. 

the 04 exit polls were a bit strange to say the least, don't know if they were corrected or not.  Polls a couple months out in o4 (this time of year) showed Kerry with a very slim margin., and that group of undecideds tended to break towards Kerry.