Dems also need to hold down the forts in the following:
Wisconsin- Why is this state known for Progressivism such a battleground?
Minnesota- see above
Michigan- I don't see many shifts, but a McCain would easily win
Pennsylvania- see Michigan, but I may also add a drastic GOP shift out in western PA. I hope the Dem chairs in eastern PA get their acts together and pick a good Dem as Philly mayor in 2007. Bad Dem press has hurt us.
New Jersey- Dark horse for the GOP. Philly factors have spillover effect in South Jeresy as well. A libertarian GOP shift in policy could make this state competitive and right now the Dems are viewed as corrupt here.
Wisconisn has some conservative areas, but the state is pretty much staying where it is
Minnesota See Wisconsin. If Dems lose here, we already lost the election
Michagin- See above
Pennsylvania- Western PA going more Republican, Philly suburbs becoming more Dem, tradeeoff = very little movement (just different county totals)
NJ- if Dems lose here well then we are in big trouble. (Unless Rudy somehow gets the GOP nomination & Moore is running as an Indpendent. Too socially liberal to go GOP. The only real chance is Rudy & no way he gets past the nomination.