Iowa Democratic County Convention Results- Where to find?? (user search)
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  Iowa Democratic County Convention Results- Where to find?? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Iowa Democratic County Convention Results- Where to find??  (Read 4075 times)
Smash255
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« on: March 12, 2016, 05:49:43 PM »

I saw on the Iowa Democrats website that the County Conventions time vary and the latest appears to be 7pm Cental, so I know we are unlikely to see any results until sometime after then, but does anyone know where the results wwll be avilable once they start to come in?
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Smash255
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« Reply #1 on: March 12, 2016, 07:26:34 PM »

Looks like it was 114-114 as far as State Delegates from Polk
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Smash255
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« Reply #2 on: March 12, 2016, 08:35:39 PM »

Looks like Clinton 511 County delegates to 503 for Sanders which breakss out to 115-113 state level delegates.  The state delegte equiv's appear to have been 121-105-2 on Election night. 
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Smash255
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« Reply #3 on: March 12, 2016, 08:46:44 PM »

Looks like Clinton 511 County delegates to 503 for Sanders which breakss out to 115-113 state level delegates.  The state delegte equiv's appear to have been 121-105-2 on Election night. 

Wow, that's a huge change.

Trying to see if I can find county delegate data for Polk from Election Day to see if it would give any indication if the change had to do with more Bernie delegates showing up than Clinton ones, or if it would show that some Clinton delegates may have switched.

Either way it was a swing of +16 for Clinton to +2 for Clinton at state delegates, which depending on the results elsewhere in the state would be enough to flip that last delegate to Sanders.  It would not be enough to flip CD-3.
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Smash255
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« Reply #4 on: March 12, 2016, 08:52:29 PM »

We won't really know how the delegates are apportioned for quite some time. There were 98 other county caucuses that we don't have results for (apparently the Black Hawk County convention had problems as well) and we still have CD conventions and the statewide convention. It really is impossible to draw conclusions from the result in Polk.

True, there are still multiple stages left, the best we can do at this point is estimate and without knowing the results in the other counties it is really hard to know much of anything.
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Smash255
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« Reply #5 on: March 12, 2016, 10:33:29 PM »

Looks like Clinton 511 County delegates to 503 for Sanders which breakss out to 115-113 state level delegates.  The state delegte equiv's appear to have been 121-105-2 on Election night.  

Wow, that's a huge change.

Trying to see if I can find county delegate data for Polk from Election Day to see if it would give any indication if the change had to do with more Bernie delegates showing up than Clinton ones, or if it would show that some Clinton delegates may have switched.

County Delegates elected from the Polk County precinct caucuses were 638 Clinton, 554 Sanders, 8 O'Malley (1200 total). Only 1040 delegates showed in Polk today. Based on the final count, Sanders lost 45 while Clinton lost 107.

So a net -62 for Hillary, certainly enough to swing the state should things hold relatively the same.

Looks like she picked up ground elsewhere, some slight changes on the CD level, but the state level is basically where we were


http://iowademocrats.org/iowa-democratic-county-convention-results/
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