Does anybody trust it? My problem is that they are super over reactive to every poll. One liberal poll showing Begich up that doesn't even change the average and Alaska is suddenly a Dem hold. Are you kidding me?
I actually found this site through election projection. He isn't always right, but his projections seem to be fair (he is a conservative btw). As far as not changing the average, it actually does. As you get closer to the election, he changes the period from last 30 days to last 14 days in the polls that he uses. Since there has been limited Alaska polling in the last couple weeks, the Begich +6, did change the average Barring any other polls coming out of Alaska between now and then, his next update which should be shortly will have Alaska going back to the GOP once the Rasmussen poll which just came out is added.