I was trying to redistrict that area and found that the county is only 40 percent white. But how come Obama only narrowly won it and Whitman won it by close to 10 points? Is there racialized voting patterns in that county?
While overall population is 45% Hispanic, 40% White, VAP is 45% White, 40% Hispanic. Registered Voters is likely more white and less Hispanic than that, and turnout even more white and less Hispanic. Just prior to last year's election, Republicans had a registration advantage of about 5.5% (approx 48,000)
