Comparing 'final' polling firm predictions in 2010 generic race (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 25, 2024, 08:50:48 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Comparing 'final' polling firm predictions in 2010 generic race (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Comparing 'final' polling firm predictions in 2010 generic race  (Read 490 times)
Smash255
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,457


« on: March 03, 2011, 03:36:05 AM »

At http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/, they have a listing of 17 polling firms final predictions on the 2010 congressional (House) elections.

Republicans had a 6074% margin over Democrats (BallotAccessNews), and here is what the firms predicted (margin of Republican victory)

The Good:

Opinion Dynamics          7
Greenberg                     7
Tarrance                        6

Reasonable:

DCJ Research                9
Zogby                            5

Absurd:

PRSA/Pew                   - 1
Roper                          - 1
TNS                             - 4
Knowledge Networks - 5
Marist                         - 6

I was a little surprised how bad Marist did, but not at all surprised by PRSA, Roper, TNS of 'Knowledge Networks'

Other firms (Not Absurd, but not too good)

Rasmussen
Gallup
Selzer
Polimetrix
Hart
ORC






PEW was -1 RV, but LV was +6
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.03 seconds with 12 queries.