2000 redistricting impact on GOP losses (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 10:34:10 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2000 redistricting impact on GOP losses (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2000 redistricting impact on GOP losses  (Read 3559 times)
Smash255
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,460


« on: September 17, 2009, 12:58:17 AM »

Redistricting gave GOP member a safer district:

Keller (FL-8)
Shaw (FL-22)
Grucci (NY-1)
Kelly (NY-19)
Chabot (OH-1)
Sherwood (PA-10)

Redistricting gave GOP a less safe district:

Morella (MD-8)
Hayes (NC-8)

Redistricting gave GOP member a district with no major partisan change (or unknown--please correct otherwise):

Hayworth (AZ-5)
Pombo (CA-11)
Simmons (CT-2)
Shays (CT-4)
Johnson (CT-5), though in 2002 faced inc. vs. inc.
Crane (IL-8)
Hostettler (IN-8)
Nussle (IA-1)
Leach (IA-2)
Ryun (KS-2)
Northup (KY-3)
Knollenberg (MI-9)
Gutknecht (MN-1)
Bass (NH-2)
Sweeney (NY-20)
Taylor (NC-11)
English (PA-3)
Hart (PA-4)
Weldon (PA-7)
Bonilla (TX-23)? - originally safer, then less safe - not sure how final district compared to the 1990s
Goode (VA-5)

-------

Seems that GOP-dominated redistricting if anything limited Dem gains.

NY-01 was actually not changed at all(maybe a tiny bit) in 2001.  IN-08 was made slightly more Dem as was NC-11.  MI-09 was made marginally more GOP. 

You are correct about NY-1.  The district changed only very slightly and the difference had virtually no impact as the changes in registration  between March 02 (the last enrollment figures prior to redistricting) and November 02 in the district was almost exactly the same as the change in Suffolk County as a whole.

NY-01  GOP + 13.78 to GOP +13.39  (net change Dems +.3876)
Suffolk GOP +9.76 to GOP + 9.33 (net change Dems +.4224)

So the changes were pretty muvh as identical as it can get

FTR the advantage for the GOP in NY-01 as of 4/09 5.90 & in Suffolk as a whole it is 1.57
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 11 queries.