FL: Cherry Communications: Trump +9, +9 (user search)
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  FL: Cherry Communications: Trump +9, +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL: Cherry Communications: Trump +9, +9  (Read 996 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: May 10, 2024, 09:25:48 AM »

FWIW this has the abortion amendment at 61/29.  Suggests significant success in decoupling the presidential vote from the abortion vote. 
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: May 10, 2024, 10:25:59 AM »

FWIW this has the abortion amendment at 61/29.  Suggests significant success in decoupling the presidential vote from the abortion vote. 
Democrats thought the Abortion Amendment would help Biden & DMP in the Presidential & Senate Races. Looks like it has no impact at all on those Races.

Trump gets 58 % of Florida Hispanics and Rick Scott is even higher winning 2 out of 3 FL Hispanics.
If this is true it suggests that DeSantis winning Puerto Ricans in 2022 wasn't a one-off.

Rep. Darren Soto & Rep. Jared Moskowitz clinging to dear life with these sort of Numbers.

While Florida Hispanics are different from other states, this feels like the kind of movement that would also generationally shut the door on Blue Texas.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: May 10, 2024, 02:32:13 PM »

The margin looks accurate, give or take a few points.

It's really unfortunate the direction that state has gone in recent years. After the 2012 election, I initially thought Florida would become Lean Democratic by the end of the decade due to demographic changes and Republicans just getting crazier all the time.

If anything, Florida is now the Republican version of a "demographic apocalypse"- flooding the zone with conservative retirees!
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