Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
Posts: 12,809
|
 |
« on: May 02, 2024, 04:46:22 PM » |
|
FWIW this is systematically ~5% more pro-choice than recent referendum results in states that have held them. Largest error was Louisiana, which is 53% pro-choice here but voted 63% pro-life in a referendum in 2020 (which was before Dobbs, yes, but also after Barrett was confirmed and a Roe reversal was anticipated).
Closest fit was California (68% vs. 67% in actual referendum). The only state it has being too pro-life vs. referendum results was Kentucky (however, note pro-choice was "no" in the KY referendum). In swing states, Michigan and Ohio were both about 57% pro-choice in referendum votes vs. 64% here.
While it doesn't have voter initiatives, recently legislative election results in Virginia are totally inconsistent with it being core NE state level pro-choice.
|
