How will the court vote on Illegal immigrant Census case? (user search)
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  How will the court vote on Illegal immigrant Census case? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How will the court vote on Illegal immigrant Census case?  (Read 2447 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: November 16, 2020, 11:30:03 AM »

I'm thinking at least 6/3 to count everyone, at most 8/1.  Gorsuch is just about a sure thing to oppose the EO, Roberts and Kav don't like to upset the apple cart, and Alito is almost a sure thing to support the changes.  ACB and Thomas are IDK.
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Skill and Chance
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Posts: 12,778
« Reply #1 on: December 01, 2020, 03:19:47 PM »

I'm thinking at least 6/3 to count everyone, at most 8/1.  Gorsuch is just about a sure thing to oppose the EO, Roberts and Kav don't like to upset the apple cart, and Alito is almost a sure thing to support the changes.  ACB and Thomas are IDK.
Thomas will support Trump. He almost always sides with Alito.

There is a big distinction between originalism and the modern conservative position in this case that makes me unsure about Thomas. 
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