Which safe R states are most likely to become swing/blue states any time soon? (user search)
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  Which safe R states are most likely to become swing/blue states any time soon? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Pick three
#1
Kansas
 
#2
Mississippi
 
#3
Alaska
 
#4
South Carolina
 
#5
Louisiana
 
#6
Utah
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 74

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Author Topic: Which safe R states are most likely to become swing/blue states any time soon?  (Read 1766 times)
Skill and Chance
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Posts: 12,814
« on: November 19, 2017, 04:36:59 PM »

Kansas and Alaska.  Trump still had really strong appeal in LA/MS/AL, so I would place all of the Dem-trending western states ahead of them.  Utah could end up electing a lot of R-caucusing Mormon independents and giving its electoral votes to a 3rd candidate a couple of times, with some similarities to the Dixiecrat situation in the mid 20th century.  I would expect some Mormon 3rd party action in Idaho as well, probably not strong enough to get any pluralities statewide, but they could take ID-01 from the mainline Republicans.  It won't help the Democrats statewide in any meaningful way, though, just Mormon R-Ind. vs. mainline R.     
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