Skill and Chance
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Posts: 12,871
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« on: November 12, 2017, 03:54:52 PM » |
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The first sign of the current Dem coalition forming would have to be Kaine's surprisingly large 2005 win. There was a precedent back to the 1980's for Dems winning Fairfax by more than the statewide margin, but Loudoun, Prince William, VA Beach and the Kaine margin in Henrico/small Kilgore margin in Chesterfield were big surprises. Warner's 2001 win was very much about the old school Dem coalition at the state level, so that's not a good starting point. His map looks very foreign today.
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