If the democrat were to win Mississippi, what would the county map be? (user search)
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  If the democrat were to win Mississippi, what would the county map be? (search mode)
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Author Topic: If the democrat were to win Mississippi, what would the county map be?  (Read 981 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: October 14, 2017, 02:02:51 PM »

In 2020?  Would have to be something 1912ish with a SoCon 3rd party winning counties so that the Dem could win with their ~40% statewide PV floor. 
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2017, 02:44:00 PM »

In 2020?  Would have to be something 1912ish with a SoCon 3rd party winning counties so that the Dem could win with their ~40% statewide PV floor. 

it is probably more like 45 at the federal level. obama got 43 in 12

That's the ceiling right now, not the floor, and it's clear after 2016 that Obama level black turnout can't be counted on going forward.  I do think they could start getting to 42-43 more regularly with time.
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