That's separate double digit polls, and then the CNN one showing a 9 point lead. Looks like the public is starting to turn against the GOP itself now. Unfortunately, it's still very early. There is a lot of time for things to change in the GOP's favor (or get worse for them as well).
On the other hand, it also seems likely the Trump and the GOP's overall support will stay anemic for this year's elections in November, which would give Democrats a good chance to make some gains in the VA HoD, hold their statewide offices and make a sweep in NJ.
Most interestingly this is with a good economy (relatively). They shouldn't be at this level of damage this early.
This is what really surprises me. God help them if the business cycle recession is during the 2018 midterms. Although the advantage in that scenario is that the economy will likely be recovering by 2020.
My impression is that we are so polarized now that the economy just doesn't matter as much as it did in e.g. the mid 20th century. Obama and Clinton didn't get much credit for the recovery in 2014 or 2016, after all. The late 19th century was a similar environment, in that only the two most severe downturns in a 30 year period (1873 and 1893) actually caused a wave election. That having been said, it would be unprecedented in US history to get all the way to 2021 without a recession.
