Your non trolling 2018 Predictions (user search)
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Author Topic: Your non trolling 2018 Predictions  (Read 7039 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: February 25, 2017, 09:29:46 PM »

House: D+25-35, narrow D majority

Senate: R+1-2

I would have this at R+10-12 if Clinton were president.  Republicans lost the chance to lock in a 25+ year majority.

Governors: D+6-9

R's lose NV+NM+MI+IL+FL+NH+ME+2 of MD/MA/VT+ one of AZ/GA/KS
D's lose CT and MN
AK is an R vs. I tossup

State legislatures: WA Senate, AZ Senate (possibly through a coalition/power sharing agreement), CO Senate, ME Senate, and NH House and Senate flip.  AK House coalition holds, but Democrats still need R/I votes for a majority.  All of the R low-hanging fruit have finally flipped, so pretty much all gains will be made by the D's.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: February 25, 2017, 11:25:36 PM »
« Edited: February 25, 2017, 11:36:31 PM by Skill and Chance »

House: D+25-35, narrow D majority

Senate: R+1-2

I would have this at R+10-12 if Clinton were president.  Republicans lost the chance to lock in a 25+ year majority.

Governors: D+6-9

R's lose NV+NM+MI+IL+FL+NH+ME+2 of MD/MA/VT+ one of AZ/GA/KS
D's lose CT and MN
AK is an R vs. I tossup

State legislatures: WA Senate, AZ Senate (possibly through a coalition/power sharing agreement), CO Senate, ME Senate, and NH House and Senate flip.  AK House coalition holds, but Democrats still need R/I votes for a majority.  All of the R low-hanging fruit have finally flipped, so pretty much all gains will be made by the D's.

And you're basing this on a random special election in Delaware where Democrats spent hundreds of thousands of dollars? lol

No, I have been expecting a modest Dem wave for 2018 since December.  Besides, the governing party losing 30 House seats and some governorships and 1-seat state legislative majorities in states Clinton won looks a lot more like "generic midterm" than "massive Dem wave."  I am hardly predicting reverse 1894 here!
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