Skill and Chance
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« on: January 27, 2015, 02:28:27 PM » |
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I would probably start from Booker, Castro, Schatz, Tester/Bullock, Kaine/Warner/McAuliffe, and Bennet/Hickenlooper
Booker
Major Advantage: appeal to the black vote
Major Disadvantage: as others have pointed out, he's single. Gay rumors aside, who could a sitting VP date without a scandal?
Castro
Major Advantage: appeal to the Hispanic vote
Major Disadvantage: lack of experience, highest elected office was mayor
Schatz
Major Advantage: young, progressive and charismatic, LG and legislative experience
Major Disadvantage: white male from safest Dem state in the country
Tester
Major Advantage: Populist Dem with repeated statewide success in a McCain state
Major Disadvantage: not young, possibly too moderate for base, difficult to hold seat
Bullock
Major Advantage: won running against Citizens United in McCain state
Major Disadvantage: John Walsh appointment scandal
Bennet
Major Advantage: young, charismatic, outsider status, from swing state
Major Disadvantage: up in 2016 in swing state, lack of religious affiliation
Hickenlooper
Major Advantage: popular governor of swing state, arguable outsider status
Major Disadvantage: not young, gun rights backlash
Kaine
Major Advantage: elected governor and senator in swing state by wide margins, relatively young
Major Disadvantage: early Obama 2008 supporter, could be too boring
Warner
Major Advantage: governor and senator in a swing state, including a 2:1 win in 2008
Major Disadvantage: nearly lost his swing state to Some Rich Dude in 2014 for lack of effort
McAuliffe
Major Advantage: close personal friend of the Clintons, fundraising prowess
Major Disadvantage: very sketchy business dealings and personality
For me, it would be between Kaine, Hickenlooper and Tester. I wonder why the latter two, particularly Hickenlooper, are mentioned so infrequently? Hillary is going to have to campaign nationally as pro-gun control, so I don't really see the drawback there. Also, Hickenlooper wouldn't create a GOP senate pickup opportunity if they do win.
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