Skill and Chance
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Posts: 12,851
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« on: January 19, 2015, 03:18:29 PM » |
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1. Black Republicans
2. Misogynists who otherwise lean left
3. Relatively well-off moderates/liberals upset about changes to their health care plans
4. Protest votes from progressives, particularly if Warren or Sanders loses a primary challenge and Romney runs as a consensus moderate
5. If the economy is worse in 2016 than in 2012, people who lost their job in the interim
Of those, I think #1 and #3 would be the most significant. I don't think there are many people who fit #2 around anymore. If this were 1976 they would be more relevant.
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