2012 election results by state minus largest county (user search)
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  2012 election results by state minus largest county (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2012 election results by state minus largest county  (Read 4052 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: April 23, 2013, 09:15:15 PM »

Some interesting ones-

AK- What do we use for a county equivalent here?
AZ- Swings D without Maricopa, but Romney still wins?
CO- El Paso (Colorado Springs) is even bigger than Denver and was ~59% Romney.  Huge D swing.
DE- Romney win without New Castle
HI- Oahu is actually the most moderate island
NH- Will swing D without Hillsborough
OR- Pretty sure Romney wins without Multnomah
VA- Does Obama win without Fairfax in 2012?  I know he won without NOVA period in 2008.
WA- Romney wins without King?
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: April 23, 2013, 09:30:20 PM »

Fascinating! I wonder if there's any state where the reverse would be true.

Not in the 2012 election.  If Romney had narrowly won CO or NH then it would be possible.  CO would move left of NM without El Paso, so it is the best candidate.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: April 24, 2013, 10:21:47 AM »

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Map_of_Michigan_highlighting_Wayne_County.svg


Michigan and Wayne, County (much of the latter Detroit)

Barack H. Obama       595,846    72.83%
Willard Mitt Romney      213,814    26.13%

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Abandoned_Packard_Automobile_Factory_Detroit_200.jpg

What can you say about Detroit? The Republican Party barely exists there.

Statewide:

Barack H. Obama       2,564,569    54.09%   
Willard Mitt Romney      2,115,256    44.61%    

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:ComericaParkWEntrance.jpg

Michigan without Wayne County:

Willard Mitt Romney      2,102,034
Barack H. Obama       1,860,723

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Mackinac_Bridge_Sunset.jpg

Michigan politics is simple: Democrats run up the Democratic numbers in Greater Detroit or lose. So it is with Illinois and Greater Chicago.    

I think you can flip all of the Midwestern Obama states except Iowa and Minnesota by removing the largest county.  Even MN only barely holds for Obama without Hennepin.  
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