2012 county & metro area estimates released today

[Skill and Chance]

BTW, has anyone calculated what the apportionment would be in 2020 if current trends continue? Would California gain a district?

CA would narrowly gain a seat based on the statewide 2012 estimates (released earlier than these stats).  TX gets +3 with the 3rd being a narrow affair.  Every other state that changes is currently pegged at +/-1. 

[Skill and Chance]

So 49% of Washington's population growth from 2011 to 2012 was in King County...

I almost feel sorry for the local GOP... but not quite.

Could be worse for the Republicans... 84% of New York state's population growth was in New York City!

Does it matter outside of the state senate?  The VA and GA growth is probably most interesting to D's.  VA could be D+1-2 in 2020 if this keeps up and GA could be put in play.

[Skill and Chance]

Another interesting question is whether/when Texas could pass California.  Using a straight line model, this could happen sometime in the 2050's.  I'm not sure straight line growth is appropriate here because inland Texas may well hit its ecological capacity long before then, but let's say it's possible.  Could we be looking at this apportionment come 2050?