CNN/ORC Colorado: Obama 50, Romney 48.

[Skill and Chance]

Interesting.  CO saves Obama in the event of a Romney win in Wisconsin, so it is relevant.  Going to be very difficult for a Democrat at 50% to lose there IMO with the polling issues.

[Skill and Chance]

never mind how the early vote is going.....

turnout at D+2 lol when in 08 it was R+1,  ha ha good luck.

Shhh. Just read this and pretend that it is true!


764 respondents were classified as likely voters.  Among those likely voters, 33% described themselves as registered Democrats, 35% described themselves as registered Independents, and 31% described themselves as registered Republicans.

The 2010 exit poll was D+6 and 2010 early voting was R+6.  In light of that, there is nothing at all unreasonable about this poll.

[Skill and Chance]

never mind how the early vote is going.....

turnout at D+2 lol when in 08 it was R+1,  ha ha good luck.

Shhh. Just read this and pretend that it is true!


764 respondents were classified as likely voters.  Among those likely voters, 33% described themselves as registered Democrats, 35% described themselves as registered Independents, and 31% described themselves as registered Republicans.

The 2010 exit poll was D+6 and 2010 early voting was R+6.  In light of that, there is nothing at all unreasonable about this poll.

Sure, it is on the verge of being mathematically plausible because the Colorado GOP is not very skilled. The Romney campaign is doing better, and more importantly, EV is likely to hit 80% of the total rather than the 72% it was in the 2010 elections.


It would take a complete collapse in GOP turnout for such a result. Thus far in these elections, 59% of Colorado Republicans have voted, compared to 57% of Colorado Democrats.

I also wouldn't be surprised at all if some conservatives report themselves as Democrats in media polls.