There was just a Globe poll showing the same result, with leaners. The Globe poll in question, however, has Obama at 52%, and even not considering that and the other polls the past few weeks in this race (the Globe doesn't have a Republican lean in particular, but it does have high undecideds a lot of the time and has just been distinctly odd at a few points in this particular race so far), ties are more liable than not to go to the Democrat in this state.
Of course, my main reason for suspicion is that I simply can't think of anything that could have conceivably shifted the race very much in the past few days except polling weirdness because of people preparing for the storm, and even that's questionable since the storm's only just hitting now. That, and the whole weekend polling thing, since the Globe poll is half weekend and the UNH one is apparently all Sunday.
Well the coast is more D than inland (the far West is very low population), so hurricane related issues could actually explain it.
