Polls on Same-Sex Marriage State Laws

[Skill and Chance]

That would be cool if it was passed/upheld in WA, NJ, MD, and ME this year.

If the polls are this close and it comes to a referendum in WA, MD and ME - it will probably not pass. Because gay marriage has in history always overpolled. Could pass in NJ though, but even there I'm not sure.

P.S. - What about the map?

Don't forget that laws that pass with 2/3rds are referendum-proof in most states.  There's talk that 2/3rds is in reach in NJ at the moment.

[Skill and Chance]

So we will almost certainly have WA and MD pass it this year.  Then I wonder who is next?  DE or RI could try.  I'd imagine Hickenlooper will try to pass it in CO in 2013 if the State House falls back under D control.  Same with OR where Kitzhaber is one seat away from a trifecta.