Strategic Vision gets the big (R) next to their name, however for most of this year the bulk of their polling has been more or less consistent within MOE of others.
I think PA and Jersey might be a couple points too kind to Bush in this bunch - nothing horrible, within MOE
I "think" Ohio is actually about right (IMHO), but I really want to see another poll to confirm or deny till I get a firm opinion on that state.
Y 'all spin away on these.
OHIO
Bush 51%
Kerry 45%
IOWA
Bush 49%
Kerry 47%
PENNSYLVANIA
Bush 46%
Kerry 46%
WISCONSIN
Bush 49%
Kerry 45%
NEW JERSEY
Kerry 47%
Bush 41%
I'd say they are all about 2% Republican friendly....nothing too crazy about these polls.
I agree completely. These are all sane, but probably all are just a shade Bush-friendly. I think Iowa is a perfect example... the average of just about all polls post-first-debate has been dead-even (one had Bush +3%, two had Kerry +1%. And the pre-debate polls were running about Bush +3%. I think it's pretty clear that Iowa is even. They have Bush +2%. Within the MOE? Yes, so, clearly not bad. But since they're on the same side, albeit within the MOE, in every state (most likely), there is a hint of a small bias here. Clearly, we're not taking about LA Times style bias, but just a bit... perhaps in their weighting or something.