PPP: Romney leads New Hampshire, Paul second

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NH_1229925.pdf

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At this rate, Huntsman will certainly place at least third.

Considering the field, that isn't too impressive for a state he's throwing everything at.

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Paul could win New Hampshire if he does well in Iowa and Mitt does poorly.

That'd be fun.

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At this rate, Huntsman will certainly place at least third.

Considering the field, that isn't too impressive for a state he's throwing everything at.

No, not really.

Yes,really.

Regardless, where does he go after even a strong third in nh? His entire campaign is based on romney fundamentally collapsing, and that isn,t forseeable.

Oh no, I'm agreeing with you, it's not really that impressive. His path is for Romney to do poorly in IA, Paul to either do poorly as well or be diminished by attacks in the week. Something like:  Santorum, Paul, Gingrich, Romney.

Huntsman would need a helluva boost to actually replace Romney in New Hampshire, and anything short of first (and a decent distance from the runner-up, too) would amount to Huntsman getting nowhere.

My guess would be someone who has no chance in New Hampshire winning Iowa (Santorum would work, Gingrich or Perry maybe) followed by Paul and then Romney. Huntsman could then dig at Romney and Paul, and then sneak past both to steal first.

Huntsman: 28%
Romney: 25%
Paul: 21%

or something like that.

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Paul is no longer leading in Iowa?

FFFFUUUUUUUUUUU-

Depends on the poll. From what I've seen so far, the bigger the base of non-Republicans included in polling the better Paul does (this is why one poll had him behind Santorum while another had him leading).

It's not something that traditional polling can predict properly.