How likely do you think it is... (user search)
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  How likely do you think it is... (search mode)
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Author Topic: How likely do you think it is...  (Read 1939 times)
Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« on: September 10, 2010, 03:32:07 PM »

Lieberman wouldn't really surprise me. Ben Nelson would surprise me.
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #1 on: September 10, 2010, 08:14:06 PM »

Joe will probably bail in any event, if enough GOP moderates get elected, Kirk, Castle, etc. I think the die is pretty cast on that one.
He might, but I don't see any other Dems doing so. And he'd only split if it's a 50-50 senate.
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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Posts: 1,088


« Reply #2 on: September 10, 2010, 09:07:39 PM »

Joe will probably bail in any event, if enough GOP moderates get elected, Kirk, Castle, etc. I think the die is pretty cast on that one.
He might, but I don't see any other Dems doing so. And he'd only split if it's a 50-50 senate.

I am going to go out on a limb, and predict he will bail irrespective, assume he has a large enough moderate GOP Senate cohort to commune with.

Surely you agree, that Joe has a zero future in the Dem party, no?  But with a resurgent GOP in New England, he just might.

Assuming Dems are in the majority either way, he'd have far more influence on committees as a member of the majority who constantly threatens to vote with the minority, than as a member of the minority. Especially if they end up giving Dems a one seat margin on committees.

I don't think Joe is that worried about being in the majority per se, and after November, who has the technical majority in the Senate won't matter much anyway. No, I can't prove any of this. It is just a gut feeling. And surely you agree that Joe has a zero future in the Dem party, no? But with a resurgent New England GOP, he just might.
Even with a "resurgent New England GOP"(which I don't totally buy as something that will happen) he's still DOA in 2012 so all he'd be doing would be a final poke in the eye to his party, it's not like it would help him win.
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