NYT/Siena: PA--Trump +3, WI-Biden +2, MI-Trump +7, GA-Trump +10, NV-Trump +12, AZ-Trump +7 (user search)
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  NYT/Siena: PA--Trump +3, WI-Biden +2, MI-Trump +7, GA-Trump +10, NV-Trump +12, AZ-Trump +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NYT/Siena: PA--Trump +3, WI-Biden +2, MI-Trump +7, GA-Trump +10, NV-Trump +12, AZ-Trump +7  (Read 3741 times)
DrScholl
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Posts: 18,395
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30
« on: May 13, 2024, 12:41:00 PM »
If I had to guess they are weighting by party ID and that's not a good thing to do in polling if you want an accurate result. Apparently this is what CNN has been doing. I honestly think that some pollsters are  weighting and sampling to deliberately get pro-Trump results to either correct for errors in past cycles or to boost his prospects because he's good for business. The variance between the Senate races makes no sense and that's quite suspect to me.
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