DrScholl
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Posts: 18,422
Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30
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« on: January 14, 2021, 01:13:37 AM » |
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Kinzinger might get drawn out and merged with Illinois losing a seat. Democrats will certainly eliminate a Republican seat.
Gonzalez could get primaried out considering how heavily right leaning his seat is.
Newhouse is safe because of the jungle primary format. Should another Republican make the top two he could get Democrats to support him if the other Republican was really insane.
Valadao is probably safe to make the top two but it wouldn't surprise me if some random right-winger from Bakersfield got in the race.
Upton could get a primary challenge. There are a lot of Trump friendly areas in the outlying areas of that district.
Beutler might have some trouble against a Trumpist in places like Cowlitz, but I'm not sure it's enough to push her out the top two.
Katko probably did himself a favor voting for impeachment. I think he could fend off a primary
challenge narrowly at worst.
Cheney could be in real trouble in the primary.
Not sure about Meijer.
Rice is probably in trouble in the primary.
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