Mini Tuesday results thread (user search)
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Author Topic: Mini Tuesday results thread  (Read 50082 times)
DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,395
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« on: March 10, 2020, 05:41:44 PM »

I think how each respondent defines Medicare for All makes a difference. Some people might see it as ideal but don't actually vote for a candidate based on it.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,395
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #1 on: March 10, 2020, 06:49:19 PM »

On CNN the reporter on the ground in Mississippi said that Sanders canceling his rally in Jackson was noticed by voters. One voter said "I like Bernie, but he skipped us". Not that holding the rally would have much helped Sanders, but it appears that some voters didn't like being written off.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,395
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #2 on: March 10, 2020, 07:12:53 PM »


That's sure to trigger some conspiracy. "CNN said Bernie won Mississippi, but the establishment made a call and made them change it!"
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,395
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #3 on: March 10, 2020, 08:28:02 PM »

Biden seems to have brought a lot of white working class voters back on board while also expanding numbers with suburban voters. You can't extrapolate much from a primary, but if these numbers are any indication then Trump should be very concerned.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,395
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #4 on: March 10, 2020, 10:50:34 PM »


Basically it's just a primary with limited voting locations.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,395
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #5 on: March 12, 2020, 02:36:10 PM »



Let it be known that this map is the moment Bernie Sanders lost.

And with that, Michigan is officially Lean D in November.

Yes, Joe Biden winning 53% of Democrats is surely going to help him win the state as a whole. Let's also not forget he won 81% in Mississippi, I think that puts Mississippi into play am I right?

I'll construct some more faux narratives for you too.

 - Biden winning suburban counties (and especially suburban women) means he's a lock to continue the Democratic trends there.
 - Biden winning rural Trump counties means he'll flip back Obama/Trump voters.
 - Biden winning college towns means he'll turn out the young voters in November.

You can't lose, Biden has no flaws!

Being sarcastic doesn't make you look intelligent. The lack of any perceived protest vote against Biden is what makes the state look even better for him in November. Looking back there should have been some concern that Clinton performed so poorly in the primary in working class areas. It seems like Biden didn't have that problem in the primary this time.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,395
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #6 on: March 12, 2020, 03:03:25 PM »



Let it be known that this map is the moment Bernie Sanders lost.

And with that, Michigan is officially Lean D in November.

Yes, Joe Biden winning 53% of Democrats is surely going to help him win the state as a whole. Let's also not forget he won 81% in Mississippi, I think that puts Mississippi into play am I right?

I'll construct some more faux narratives for you too.

 - Biden winning suburban counties (and especially suburban women) means he's a lock to continue the Democratic trends there.
 - Biden winning rural Trump counties means he'll flip back Obama/Trump voters.
 - Biden winning college towns means he'll turn out the young voters in November.

You can't lose, Biden has no flaws!

Being sarcastic doesn't make you look intelligent. The lack of any perceived protest vote against Biden is what makes the state look even better for him in November. Looking back there should have been some concern that Clinton performed so poorly in the primary in working class areas. It seems like Biden didn't have that problem in the primary this time.

I wouldn't say there wasn't any protest vote against Biden. Bloomberg scored a non-negligible share of the vote (>5%) in Macomb, St. Clair, Bay, and many of the northern counties which swung hard to Trump in 2016.

I would assume that was vote cast before it looked like Biden was in the driver's seat. Bloomberg is exactly the sort of candidate that you could call a protest one.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,395
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #7 on: March 14, 2020, 12:13:58 PM »

Biden carried several counties that voted for Dixy Lee Ray in the 1980 Washington primary that she was lost. Perhaps he picked up old conservative Democrats.
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