CA-Gravis: Rice ahead in deeply blue California

[DrScholl]

After what happened in Kentucky last night, Democrats should be deeply concerned here. 2016 is not going to be a good year for Democrats, at all.

http://gravismarketing.com/uncategorized/current-california-polling/?utm_source=iContact&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Gravis%20Marketing&utm_content=South+Carolina+Poll

Primary:

Rice 46%
Harris 34%
Sanchez 11%
DelBeccaro 9%

General:

Rice 52%
Harris 48%

Rice 64%
Sanchez 36%

[DrScholl]

I doesn't matter anyway since she's not running.

With these numbers, she might run. Regardless, it shows that Democrats are in big trouble here.

[DrScholl]

I'm surprised so many people are dismissing this poll after what happened in Kentucky, but ok.

[DrScholl]

I'm surprised so many people are dismissing this poll after what happened in Kentucky, but ok.

Kentucky=California?

Also, there is no signal that Rice is running, so the Dems have no real reason to panic.

I was being facetious, but I'm quite surprised that this poll was being rejected. Usually any poll with a Republican leading is accepted as the gold standard.

[DrScholl]

Rice would gather a strong coalition of ~65% of whites, 40% of blacks, and about ~45-50% of Hispanics. I wish she would run. Newsom and Brown are too strong for her to beat them.

65% of whites in California is impossible for any Republican considering that the white electorate is more liberal than anywhere else. The other numbers are not possible either due to polarization.