The Democratic Party is facing a Catholic apocalypse (user search)
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  The Democratic Party is facing a Catholic apocalypse (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Democratic Party is facing a Catholic apocalypse  (Read 4482 times)
TheDeadFlagBlues
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,987
Canada
« on: March 19, 2015, 03:16:37 PM »
« edited: March 19, 2015, 03:21:27 PM by TheDeadFlagBlues »

Democrats have a catholic apocalypse while the Republicans face a Hispanic apocalypse. Makes sense. Smiley

The Pubs are on the uptick with Hispanics. Mittens just didn't connect. Stay tuned. Smiley

Would be interesting to see a shred of evidence to that Smiley

Torie's evidence: an anecdote given to him by his gardener.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,987
Canada
« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2015, 06:26:20 PM »
« Edited: March 20, 2015, 06:38:05 PM by TheDeadFlagBlues »

Democrats have a catholic apocalypse while the Republicans face a Hispanic apocalypse. Makes sense. Smiley

The Pubs are on the uptick with Hispanics. Mittens just didn't connect. Stay tuned. Smiley

Would be interesting to see a shred of evidence to that Smiley

Torie's evidence: an anecdote given to him by his gardener.


Sigh. Ah the drums shall forever beat for the rich white man's condescension and exploitation of those perhaps less fortunate meme, won't they? It fits in so seamlessly with one's world view with which they find favor. Resistance is futile. Sad

I'm just ribbing you Torie. Tongue

I took a close look at Mexican-American precincts in Denver and my conclusion was that there wasn't a significant swing towards Cory Gardner. On average, he received ~1-2% more than Ken Buck. However, Udall bled a lot of votes to a third party candidate with a Hispanic last name. The Hispanic counties in southern Colorado are not representative of Latinos: they're Nuevo Mexicanos who are embedded in the rural culture of the mountain west. As a result, they're susceptible to backlash voting with regards to guns and the environment, issues which were salient in Colorado politics.

Elsewhere, the issue with Mexican-Americans was largely due to turnout. Cubans in Florida swung away from Rick Scott, especially in Miami.

I can't speak to the political trends in the Puerto Rican or Dominican community but there's a near negligible likelihood they'll ever vote for Republicans due to their ties and identification with their African heritage/identity and, to a lesser extent, the Black community in the US.

Torie, Mexican-Americans are actually moving to the left. Millennial Mexican-Americans are increasingly unchurched and still retain their parent's penchant for the welfare state and governmental intervention in the economy. In terms of class, there's no substantial evidence that suggests that wealthier Mexican-Americans are more likely to vote for Republicans than poorer Mexican-Americans. Middle class Mexican-Americans have a disproportionate presence in the public sector. If anything, they're more to the left than their working class and poor counterparts.

As for Cubans? Republicans face demographic armageddon with Cubans. Although Cuban-Americans are unusually conservative for an ethnic group that hails from the Hispanic world, they're not particularly conservative by the standards of America but they remain a core Republican constituency. Republican dominance in the Cuban community will continue to erode over the next few decades. I wouldn't be surprised if the entire community re-aligns itself with Democrats.

Republicans have a race issue with many Latinos. I doubt that predominately "indio" migrants from Mexico or darker Puerto Ricans or Dominicans will ever vote for the GOP so long as it maintains its current orientation.

edit: I apologize for the incoherent nature of this post but it's hard to discuss Latinos as a unified ethnicity. The issue of Latino voting trends necessitates digging into specific ethnic data. Otherwise, trends are easily obscured.
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