As long as it's Chavists versus American-Allied Ancien Regime Anti-Chavists, Chavists are certain to win elections in Venezuela on the strength of the opposition's horribleness alone. They'll have to (and have started to) move on to something more describable as Postchavist.
As a candidate HCR is running as a center-left admirer of Lula so, on paper at least, this election offers the country a different choice. His background says otherwise. I really doubt that he isn't a typical right-wing corporatist.