ID-01/02: Mason Dixon: Minnick's (D) lead down to 3, Simpson (R) strong

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Minnick has been reaming Labrador with negative ads and Labrador hasn't even been able to respond. Labrador tried to put some ads up on the air but they were taken down for being misleading. I'd honestly expect Minnick to have more than a 10 point lead in north Idaho. No one besides the most ardent teabaggers really knows who Labrador is besides as that "mexi looking guy who likes illegals". His signs are everywhere but no one likes him (this is from my canvassing/phonebanking knowledge).

Expect to see a big divide between Labrador's stomping grounds in Nampa and other Boise suburbs and the rest of the district.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

His signs are everywhere but no one likes him (this is from my canvassing/phonebanking knowledge).

Not sure if you realize this, but Democratic campaigns don't have volunteers canvass or phone bank Republican voters. You're primarily set up to preach to the choir and boost turnout amongst the faithful, not win the hearts of the skeptics.

I'm not an idiot, in most states this is true. In Idaho, we phonebank just about everyone and canvass most people (anyone who is not a "Strong Republican" is game). This has everything to do with the fact that there are few Democrats here.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Is the caricature really true that northern Idaho is packed with folks trying to maximize their physical distance from persons of color?

No, the only reason Labrador lost here during the primary is because he's from the Boise suburbs. It's important to remember that the whole state is devoid of minorities except for Natives and areas affected by the housing boom. Oh and agricultural areas, of course. Other than that there are next to none.