Modeling Election Results (user search)
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  Modeling Election Results (search mode)
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Author Topic: Modeling Election Results  (Read 2208 times)
Goldwater
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« on: July 10, 2017, 05:37:56 PM »

I guess I'll start by brainstorming the demographics I want people to use in the model. I suppose I'll start with race:

Racial:
White
Hispanic
Asian
Latino

Are there any sources for data, or at least estimated data that shows what percent of each race is college educated/no-college? It would be nice to be able to model the wwc and the college educated whites seperately, as well as their minority counterparts, and a cursory look at census data didn't help.

I'm thinking that instead of using PVI, I should use a demographic ideology index, showing where people are more conservative and liberal than expected based solely on demographics, but I'm open to suggestions.

To conclude, I've tentatively decided to make this whole thing using google spreadsheets. I should note that I made this thread on a whim, and it turns out that thinking about this project is a really good way to satisfy my politics junkie tendencies, so I'm going to try to see this through.

1) Hispanic is not a race
2) Latino is not a race
3) Every Latino is Hispanic
4) Not every Hispanic is Latino
5) Where are African-Americans???

I'm just figuring this out as I go. I'm using Hispanic as a 'race' because there is 1.census data on them and 2. they have wildly different voting patterns than other whites. You are right about missing AAs though.

That doesn't explain the separate Latino category...
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