Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread) (user search)
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  Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread)  (Read 236454 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #125 on: October 07, 2015, 09:36:06 PM »
NDP campaign is being run by Anne McGrath, Layton's former COS.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #126 on: October 07, 2015, 10:11:15 PM »
Speaking of which, the Herouxville councillor in question recently resurfaced. He's naturally delighted.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #127 on: October 08, 2015, 06:00:15 PM »
Leger: 34/30/25 nationally, 28/28/23/20 in QC. Kicker: Grits lead here in MTL, Tories in 418, Bloc in regions.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #128 on: October 08, 2015, 07:28:18 PM »
Unlikely for now.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #129 on: October 09, 2015, 07:53:38 AM »
Taber on strategies: accord possible if Tories <165 per NDP. Tories are ready for another campaign in 5-7 months.

Simpson: Tory blitzkrieg focused on T3: Trudeau/Trade/Terror.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #130 on: October 09, 2015, 03:26:04 PM »
EKOS: 33.8/33.7/20.7.

IRG: 35/30/24.

The Star will endorse Justin tomorrow.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #131 on: October 09, 2015, 03:56:36 PM »
« Edited: October 09, 2015, 03:59:37 PM by RogueBeaver »
Here's the Star editorial. Apart from 1972/4 (when they backed the PCs) , 1979, 2011 (NDP), they've always endorsed the Liberals. Why are they a Liberal house organ? Because the Star's editorial line follows the principles of their legendary founder Joe Atkinson.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #132 on: October 09, 2015, 04:06:50 PM »
This CBC report on the NDP is weird. On one hand their sources think Linda Duncan might be endangered but also think they have a solid floor here in QC, despite "the fycking niqab."
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #133 on: October 09, 2015, 07:09:21 PM »
Angus-Reid: 33/31/25.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #134 on: October 10, 2015, 08:38:06 PM »
« Edited: October 10, 2015, 09:05:39 PM by RogueBeaver »
Forum: 37/31/23. Hoping that whatever the outcome, someone gets a majority.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #135 on: October 10, 2015, 09:07:59 PM »
Indeed, I goofed. But barring a Tory collapse to 2004 levels in ON or major gains here, Justin's not getting a majority. Similar math problem that PCs had from 1962 to 1984.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #136 on: October 10, 2015, 10:28:04 PM »
Harper would immediately retire from politics. Interim leader would be selected and a leadership convention would be held sometime next spring. Jason Kenney has the permanent leadership if he runs.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #137 on: October 11, 2015, 03:09:54 PM »
EKOS: 35.3/33.1/19.
Nanos: 35.1/29/25.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #138 on: October 11, 2015, 06:46:21 PM »
If Mulcair loses Stornoway then he's gone. Forget the party, it will be personally humiliating and he will not play second fiddle to a man he is viscerally contemptuous of.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #139 on: October 12, 2015, 06:21:12 PM »
Graves' thoughts on potential outcomes.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #140 on: October 12, 2015, 08:13:57 PM »
Quote from: Crab on October 12, 2015, 08:05:37 PM
Could Leslie herself be in danger, considering the Liberals are expected to romp the Atlantic?

Paging DC.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #141 on: October 12, 2015, 09:08:45 PM »
Harper at risk of losing 12 seats in ON.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #142 on: October 13, 2015, 02:08:18 PM »
« Edited: October 13, 2015, 02:14:49 PM by RogueBeaver »
1) Justin Trudeau becomes Prime Minister.

2) Never.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #143 on: October 13, 2015, 03:15:34 PM »
Ipsos: 37/31/24.

EKOS: 35.1/31.1/20.6.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #144 on: October 13, 2015, 05:00:52 PM »
Fife said Tory backbiting has already begun and that he's getting 2004 vibes, when Harper knew he was going to lose and went back to Calgary to sulk.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #145 on: October 13, 2015, 09:41:45 PM »
Jean Lapierre said he's hearing Charest might be interested in the Tory leadership... to which my reaction is 1) Believe when seen 2) FYCK NO. I lost any patience I had for him in his first term.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #146 on: October 13, 2015, 10:43:12 PM »
This rumour has been floated twice before and Charest shot it down. In his concession speech 3 years ago he was very explicit about his family being exhausted of politics and how they wanted him to retire even before the election. By all accounts he's enjoying his legal career.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #147 on: October 14, 2015, 12:16:58 PM »
If the polls hold then Justin gets the usual year-long honeymoon as other parties change leaders. Then he'll start looking for his electoral window.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #148 on: October 14, 2015, 06:19:22 PM »
Dan Gagnier resigns from the Grit campaign after his lobbying advice to EnergyEast was revealed.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #149 on: October 14, 2015, 09:35:07 PM »
Justin in Outremont tomorrow. Flashbacks to 2007, when the riding association blocked him from running against Mulcair.
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