Odds of this happening (user search)
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Author Topic: Odds of this happening  (Read 370 times)
King
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Posts: 29,356
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« on: May 14, 2015, 12:48:09 PM »

IA - Walker
NH - Bush
SC - Rubio
NV - Paul
OK - Huckabee
GA - Carson
TX - Cruz

First 7 primaries, 7 different winners
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King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,356
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2015, 01:02:30 PM »

I think the first four playing out like that is not totally out of the realm of possibility, but the three results after that are close to impossible, IMO. Anyone who does not win one of the first four states isn't going to win anything else.

Clinton in 1992 did manage to lose the first four states (IA to Harkin, NH to Tsongas, SD to Kerrey, ME to Brown) and win. It's not impossible in a divided field.
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