How "unstoppable" is Hilary?

[King]

Very unstoppable for one big reason: she's popular with olds. The only reason McCain, Romney, and the Republican Party were event competitive these past two times and in the midterms out were distrust of Obama by seniors.  

While younger generations have generally swayed in the direction of the incumbent the past three decades, the current senior generation went from more Democratic than average in the 90s and 2000s to immediately more Republican in the Obama years.




We won't get into the reasons why seniors distrust Obama, but in the crosstabs for every poll out there, Hillary is solidly in the lead with 65+ demo. That's huge because people under 65 have completely tuned out the GOP and have no interest in coming back any time soon.

It would have a completely unforeseeable event to change this tide.  An act of God.

[King]

She's Al Gore Part II if she runs.  We're (and by this I mean Democrats) just going to give it to her.  I do think she'll be an effective leader.  We might be years removed from her crusade for healthcare reform as First Lady, but I feel she's still progressive at heart.  

The President is only as liberal/conservative as the Congress that sends her the legislation. Hillary would bring a strongly Democratic wave with her into Washington.

If you're progressive, you'd be better off with Hillary than a "true believer" who spends their entire term arguing with a Republican Congress.

[King]

Christie recovering from Bridgegate is a Catch-22. It increases his chances in the general but returns a pragmatic "liberal" that primary voters hate.