National Tracking Poll Thread

[King]

Probably 10.

That's your opinion.

[King]

IBD/TIPP

Obama-46.6
Romney-44.5

wit D+7 and Romney leading independents by 11

So, what do you picture them doing when someone answers republican? Hangup the phone?

[King]

The strange thing about these trackers is that they all have wildly different numbers but seem to be staying pretty constant, floating a point or two daily around a certain point. Some times Romney has a good day or Obama has a good day, but overall there doesn't seem to be much change.

Rasmussen: Romney +3
Gallup: Romney +5
Reuters/Ipsos: Obama +1
IBD/TIPP: Obama +2
RAND: Obama +3
PPP: Tie
ABC/WaPo: Romney +1

So all seven of these guys think that the race is fairly stable. They just disagree about where it's stable.

the answer is in the party id of their sample...

A vote for Obama has become a vote to debunk thousands of misconceptions about the nature of the universe.

[King]

BREAKING: GALLUP DAILY TRACKING SUSPENDED DUE TO HURRICANE SANDY

It looks like it's up to Rasmussen and RAND to ride us through this storm.

Isn't RAND's gimmick that they use the same sample of people?  They have to stay in touch no matter what.

[King]

It's very dumb for him to try to poll today.

he reweights with party id so it's not a problem for him.

So then why does Scott even bother to take the extra step of picking up the phone when his weighing system produces the result no matter what?

[King]

Remember the national polls are missing the Northeast right now.

not rand

Internet polls would be even more sensitive to a power outage than telephone polls. 

Not necessarily.  There are a lot of portable devices. 

If only there were portable phones.