Prop 19 vs. Prop 8

[King]

If Prop 19 passes, Obama wins re-election in 2012.

Note: I do not think he has anything to do with it or its repercussions, but as is the nature of politics, tidal waves start in mysterious ways.

[King]

I think you are being way too optimistic about the Latino vote. They are very family oriented......

Some would say they have another motivation for voting no...

Minority women will vote staunchly no but men yes is my prediction.  I think it will be roughly the same between white men and women.

[King]

Right now there's an 80% chance Obama doesn't win reelection. So that sounds about right

[King]

InTrade gives Prop 19 a 27.5% chance of passing and Obama 60% chance of reelection.

Prop 19 is the butterfly flapping its wing off the African coast that creates the breezes that shapes the gust that forms the current that creates the hurricane that drowns New Orleans.