latest Betfair odds (user search)
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Author Topic: latest Betfair odds  (Read 120785 times)
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« on: October 27, 2015, 12:31:24 AM »

Is it possible to short on Betfair?
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2015, 11:31:49 PM »

Bush is still way overvalued.

It's funny how overvalued Giuliani was at this point 8 years ago, especially if you look at the thread Morden linked. Giuliani's campaign was crashing and burning at this point.

Probably just lack of liquidity. Nobody's buying, so the most recent sale price remains high.
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #2 on: December 10, 2015, 12:26:57 AM »

Bush is still way overvalued.

It's funny how overvalued Giuliani was at this point 8 years ago, especially if you look at the thread Morden linked. Giuliani's campaign was crashing and burning at this point.

Probably just lack of liquidity. Nobody's buying, so the most recent sale price remains high.

Would not the cumulative share price be far in excess of 100 were that the case?

Lack of liquidity means it's not going to be a perfectly arbitraged market. And you're forgetting the house takes a cut.
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #3 on: December 10, 2015, 07:09:44 AM »


You do have to take into account the increasingly desperate lengths to which the political establishment will go to stop him. Expect him to be indicted for something pretty soon.
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