Wisconsin turning Red?

[tpfkaw]

1992 : R+1.21
1996 : D+1.81
2000 : R+0.3
2004 : D+2.84
2008 : D+6.64

If you meant "red" Atlas-wise, I agree with you.

It looks like a lean D state that particularly likes Obama.  NM might be similar.

Why would WI "particularly like Obama" ? Let alone NM, which has come from a lean-R State to a solid-D one in a bit more than two decades.

Nothing that voted for Dubya in '04 is "solid D."

[tpfkaw]

Is Missouri solid R?  It was as Republican relative to the national average as New Mexico was Democratic.

(And both similar cases; Obama overperformed in the West, McCain overperformed in the "Clinton South").

[tpfkaw]

Is Missouri solid R?  It was as Republican relative to the national average as New Mexico was Democratic.

(And both similar cases; Obama overperformed in the West, McCain overperformed in the "Clinton South").

It's called trend, not overperformance. The "Clinton South" trending republican and the southwest trending democrat are the two main facts of the last 20 years, I fail to understand how you didn't notice it.

Um, no.  The "Clinton South" is the "Clinton South" because Clinton won it (as well as Montana and Arizona...).  A "trend" would imply a permanent change, as opposed to a reaction to the events of 2008.  If one were to imagine 2008 being between a generic Republican and a generic Democrat, Obama performed better than would be expected in the West and McCain performed better than would be expected in the "Clinton South" (though that had more to do with anger over the results of the Clinton/Obama primary and racism as opposed to any appeal McCain might have had in that area).