1984 Presidential Election (by congressional district)

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Nice.  If you want to post any maps, you're more than welcome to. 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Wisconsin



Mondale carried the 5th district (most of Milwaukee and suburbs)  with 60% of the vote, the 4th district (South Milwaukee and suburbs) by a 4% margin and the 2nd district (Greater Madison) with 51% of the vote.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

That's interesting; Gore didn't carry the old South Milwaukee district in 2000.

Maybe Reagan's attitude toward Poland and other Soviet controlled nations hurt him in the district (a lot of the district's population was of Polish ancestry).

But I agree, the swing to Bush is fascinating.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

FYI that Minnesota map has only 7 districts. It probably looked something like this:



(2000 map. Borders didn't change much in the 1991 redistricting from what I've heard)

The 4th definitely didn't expand that far north. The 4th now is basically just Ramsey County, at the time it was probably St. Paul plus about half of the remaining part of Ramsey County, "a few northern suburbs".

But anyway great work!

You're right, that does look much better.  Thanks 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Pennsylvania and Mississippi will be up next! 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Pennsylvania



Mondale won almost 90% of the vote in the Second district (Philly), and won 68% of the vote in Pennsylvania's 14th District (Pittsburg).

[Fuzzybigfoot]

That's interesting; Gore didn't carry the old South Milwaukee district in 2000.

Maybe Reagan's attitude toward Poland and other Soviet controlled nations hurt him in the district (a lot of the district's population was of Polish ancestry).

But I agree, the swing to Bush is fascinating.

I would have thought most Polish-Americans would have been in favour of Reagan's foreign policy, even if they were Democratic on economic issues. But who knows.

Polish Americans liked the Polish commies about as much as Cuban Americans like Castro. Most viewed the PRP as an instrument of Russian occupation. More likely they were unionized industrial labor for whom Mondale was actually a good candidate, and were more reluctant to vote for Dukakis, who had weaker credentials in that area.

True, but I was thinking Polish Americans may have seen Reagan as a threat to everyone in Poland, not just the communists.  But that was just a guess.  

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Mississippi






Mondale lost the Second Congressional District by a hair (less than 2,000 votes)

He also hit 41% in the 4th C.D., which contained Downtown Jackson.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Sorry I haven't been adding any maps lately.  I'll try to get some more soon. 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Utah





Mondale hit 31% in the 2nd congressional district (Salt Lake City and Suburbs), his best showing out of all of Utah's three districts.


The other two districts went 78%-22% (1st) and 77%-22% (3rd) for Reagan.


Ouch. 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Thanks! 


North Carolina is up next.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

North Carolina




Mondale lost the 2nd Congressional District (Durham and other areas)  by 6%.  It was the only district where he came within single digits. 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

The states still to come are filled in yellow.






New York, Rhode Island and Oregon are still in progress.  Hang tight 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Rhode Island







Mondale lost the 1st district by about 1% (the Easternmost one) and lost the 2nd by about 6%.


Both of Rhode Island's congressional districts contained part of Providence.





(AKA   sorry about the weird purple-blue colors.  My new paint application screws up the colors)

[Fuzzybigfoot]

All this is very interesting. For NC, did Reagan get >50% in 3 districts and >70% in other 8 ? That's weird.

The lighter shades are 50%, and the darker shades are 60%+. 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

The book I'm currently using doesn't have the CDs for New York City.  I'll have to get my other one, which is loaned out.


Sorry

[Fuzzybigfoot]

The book I'm currently using doesn't have the CDs for New York City.  I'll have to get my other one, which is loaned out.


Sorry

How about this?

OMG  you have it!  Would it be alright if I used it?  I'll be sure to credit you.  Or you could do this part if you want, and I can send you the other data I already have typed up.  

[Fuzzybigfoot]

The book I'm currently using doesn't have the CDs for New York City.  I'll have to get my other one, which is loaned out.


Sorry

How about this?

OMG  you have it!  Would it be alright if I used it?  I'll be sure to credit you.  Or you could do this part if you want, and I can send you the other data I already have typed up.  

I don't mind. After all, I only scanned it.

Thank you!    I'll be able to complete this map tonight, possibly.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

New York (Part #1)



Special thanks to Sibboleth and Джонни Пять Тузов for providing me the congressional maps for NYC!  




Anyways, Mondale won all but a few C.D.'s in the city of New York itself.  Mondale's two best showings  were in the 12th Congressional District (part of Brooklyn, went 85%-14% for Mondale), the 16th C.D. (Harlem, Manhattan, went 84%-16 for Mondale.  This C.D. has been represented by Charles B. Rangel, for 40 years.  Mr. Rangel is currently under legal fire for fraud) and the  18th District (South Bronx, went 81%-19% for Mondale).

The best Reagan district was the 14th (Staten Island and part of Brooklyn, which gave Reagan 66% of the vote).  

It's interesting to note the 19th district, which is almost entirely in the Bronx and gave Reagan 52% of the vote, is also just North of the 18th (which was Mondale's third best district in the state, as shown above).  A very interesting contrast.


Another notable district is the 15th District (east Manhattan).  It is one of the few, if not, the only Republican Represented District in the House of Representatives which gave it's votes to Mondale in the presidential election (and by a huge 60%-39% spread!).





Finally, Mondale ended up capturing 61% of the vote in New York City, compared to Reagan, who got 38% (most likely because of his running mate, Geraldine Ferraro, who was a favorite daughter candidate from New York State).  

[Fuzzybigfoot]

New York  (Part #2, whole map)






And here is the final map.  

The only other district Mondale won outside New York City was the 33rd, which contained the city of Buffalo and some of it's suburbs.  Mondale carried 63% of the vote there.  


The 23rd district (Albany and some surrounding suburbs) was somewhat close, giving Reagan only a 6% edge.

In the 32nd district (Niagara Falls, part of Rochester ), Reagan had about a 10% advantage over Mondale.  

In the 20th District (all in Winchester county, directly North of NYC), Reagan had a 12% advantage.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Oregon is up next. 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Oregon



Mondale carried the Third Congressional District (most of Portland and some suburbs) by a 6% margin.


He came within about 8% of Reagan in the 4th Congressional District (which includes Eugene, as well as many of it's neighboring counties).  

[Fuzzybigfoot]

What are the other NYC Reagan districts like?

The other NYC district that went to Reagan was the 9th (North Western Queens), with a 14% margin of victory. 

The other two are stated in part 1. 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Eugene is not the capital of Oregon. And it's Westchester, not Winchester.

Surprised at northwest vs northeast Queens. Not what I would have guessed.

Whoops, I always get it mixed up with Salem.  My bad.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

What's that Reagan district in the Bronx (CD-19) like?

Lots of Italians.

I realize I wasn't clear about this in the earlier post mentioning Ferraro, but that western Queens district wasn't overwhelmingly Italian, it had a lot of other white Catholics as well (Irish, Polish, etc.)

Yes, Catholics only gave Reagan an 8% edge around the country (10% less Republican than the national vote), but it was enough to determine the race.