Official 2023 General Election Results Thread

[Del Tachi]

It is concerning to see Democrats skipping minority outreach in favor of resist liberal whites. I get that it's tough to argue with their post-Dobbs track record, and tonight will shed more light on that, but there's no reason to give up on minority outreach.

Maybe Black Democrats just aren't as pro-choice as White Democrats

[Del Tachi]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722048871847579652

Hoping this trend continues in Mississippi!

[Del Tachi]

If depressed conservatism enthusiasm is a trend tonight, I can think of two places it would show up quite obviously in Mississippi:  Pearl River and Jones Counties.  Both uber-conservative, South MS counties.  Reeves needs to hit 10k votes in Pearl River and ~13k in Jones.  Missing those marks would signal that Presley's chances have some life to them. 

[Del Tachi]

MS-Gov:  First results of the night are out of Jasper County.  Presley up 56-41 with approximatley 8% reported.  Was 56-43 Hood in 2019.

[Del Tachi]

Desoto now 86% in, Reeves leading 58-40. That's an improvement by a couple points over 2019 for Presley.

Also, 2019 was +8,589 for Reeves. Reeves currently up by around 5,500.

All of the few places that seem close-ish to finishing seem to signal at least a few % uptick for Presley over Hood. Whether it's enough though... really want to see Jackson and how much it not only turns out but if Presley can really increase that %

You'd have to imagine even the few Republicans in Jackson won't want to vote for Reeves due to his indifference to them being poisoned by their water.

80% is the number I want to see for Presley in Hinds to make this happen.

[Del Tachi]

Rankin is coming in on CNN...66/33 Reeves with 8% reporting.  I think Presley needs to keep Reeves to no better than 60-61% here.

[Del Tachi]

Benton County (Northeast MS) is >99% reported per Mississippi Today.  57/41 Reeves.  Was 59/40 Reeves in 2019.

I'm generally in agreement with what's already been said:  it looks closer than 2019, but I haven't seen anything to make me think Presley is favored to win.  Presley's chances are quickly coming down to getting a huge performance out of Hinds (which is a distinct possibility, btw.)

[Del Tachi]

MS-Gov:  Up to 35% in Rankin and Reeves holding steady at 66/33.

[Del Tachi]

Practically everything tonight is good news tonight except for MS-Gov. Which would have been nice, for certain, but on the other hand it makes IndyRep and Del Tachi wrong, so it's ALMOST worth it anyway.

I predicted Reeves would win, and still do LOL

[Del Tachi]

The Lafayette numbers are about 1k (~8%) off from the 2019 total votes cast, and MS Today has it at only 89% reported.  If there are ~1k remaining absentee ballots to be counted then it should flip to Presley when everything's said and done. 

[Del Tachi]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722089425000124711

I'm shocked, SHOCKED that Mississippi isn't America's shining beacon of a functioning democracy in action.

https://twitter.com/isilanorien/status/1722090229430198540

This actually makes complete sense to me.  Issaquena is the least populous county in the eastern United States (and has been losing a lot of Black residents to out-migration) while Vicksburg/Warren functions like an increasingly educated suburb of Jackson. 

[Del Tachi]

This actually makes complete sense to me.  Issaquena is the least populous county in the eastern United States (and has been losing a lot of Black residents to out-migration) while Vicksburg/Warren functions like an increasingly educated suburb of Jackson. 

Overall, what do you think made the difference for Reeves in this race? I know you supported Pressley, but if you had to sum it up, where did Pressley fall short? Genuinely curious.

Ummm...he's a Republican?

I may have more thoughts later, but we're still only looking at ~50% of the vote (and nothing from Hinds!)

[Del Tachi]

MS Today is showing the first votes out of Hinds.  86/13 for Presley with 15% reported.

[Del Tachi]

Hancock County is a Reeves base county on the Gulf Coast that's now >99% reported.  71/27 Reeves, identical to the 2019 result.  Reeves is about 400 votes off his 2019 margin, though.  Likely not enough.

[Del Tachi]

MS Today has the governor's race narrowing, with more Presley vote coming in from Hinds and Washington counties.  Reeves down to 53/45 statewide.  Says Presley is getting 87% of the Hinds vote with 40% reporting?

Point is...the way MS reports results in terrible.  Inconsistent numbers everywhere I look.  We won't know whether this is a Reeves overperformance (i.e., R+8) or an 2019 redux (R+5) until tomorrow.