Do Dems have any potential in Louisiana down the road?

[Del Tachi]

The cities of New Orleans and Baton Rouge are actually quite small compared to the rest of their metro areas.  Both Metro BTR and GNO narrowly voted for Trump in 2020.  So while there is room for the GOP to fall in urban/suburban LA, the question is "why would they?"

The economy of South Louisiana is very tied to offshore oil/natural gas, not exactly a D-leaning "knowledge economy" sector with high growth.  Medium-sized cities in South Louisiana (i.e., Lafayatte, Lake Charles, Houma/Thibodaux) are rapidly Republican and becoming even more so.

North Lousiana is very rural and Evangelical a la Mississippi, so it doesn't seem to be a potential future basket of votes for Democrats either.

JBE is an interesting model for other Deep South Democrats to try to emulate.  He ran very well in white suburbs but still got absolutely crushed in the rurals in 2019.  His 2015 and 2019 coalitions were pretty different.