Del Tachi
Republican95
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Posts: 18,064
Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46
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« on: December 17, 2020, 11:32:17 AM » |
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I was curious how a 2000s-style pack of the Indy suburbs into two districts and the resulting reshuffles in more rural seats would perform nowadays. Using 2018 population estimates, I think this is pretty close to recreating the 2000s map:
I think this still performs well for the GOP and is just as good at maintaining COI's as the current map. Metro Indy gets confined to 3 seats, as opposed to the current 5 it's chopped-up between now, which sounds about right (Greater Indy is ~30% of state population.) The only bad thing about this map, IMO, is the Allen chop but I at least kept the City of Fort Wayne whole.
DRA doesn't have 2016/18 numbers for Indiana, so I drew based on the 2012-16 composite. All districts are >60% GOP except for IN-02 and IN-09 (which are 57% and 58% GOP, respectively) and the urban Indy pack. Based on what I know, the GOP map in 2010 was drawn to attach rural Dems to conservative suburbia. Trends have made it such that in those same seats it is now the rural hinterlands that pull the districts toward the GOP. I think this map is pretty safe for the GOP with some potential for good trends toward them in IN-01
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