ME-02: Poliquin in denial

[MAINEiac4434]

Poliquin's rich buddies allow him to have more money than Golden, but Golden is raising mostly from small donations:

http://www.sunjournal.com/bruce-poliquin-has-big-lead-in-campaign-cash-over-democrat-jared-golden/

Also Poliquin's consultant stuck his foot in his mouth when he accused Jared of not having a career outside of politics in that article:

https://twitter.com/joncbreed/status/1019024707184726016

[MAINEiac4434]

Mother of god:

https://twitter.com/anthonyemerso14/status/1022145012862255104?s=21

Shadowy mailers lauding Poliquin’s work in the opioid crisis are funded by manufacturers of opioids.

Poliquin could actually lose in a landslide.

[MAINEiac4434]

WE GOT A POLL!!!

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/poliquin-and-golden-neck-and-neck-in-democrats-poll-of-maine-2nd-district

http://www.sunjournal.com/poll-shows-jared-golden-has-a-shot-at-winning-2nd-district-congressional-race/

1st Pref:
Poliquin: 48
Golden: 47
Bond: 3
Hoar: 2

After redistribution:

Golden: 51
Poliquin: 49

[MAINEiac4434]

Golden just aired this ad during a Red Sox game. The man knows his district:

https://twitter.com/golden4congress/status/1030159014607441920

Also has this one airing:

https://twitter.com/golden4congress/status/1030496208287150080

I love this man.

[MAINEiac4434]

Also: https://twitter.com/mfalpac/status/1030574523412885504

[MAINEiac4434]

It's all happening today:

https://twitter.com/ASFried/status/1030573651417071617

[MAINEiac4434]

FWIW Poliquin hasn’t had any ads out. He’s seemingly running a nonexistent campaign (though Maine GOP likes to post selfies of people out canvassing, they’re not just canvassing for Poliquin, they’re also doing it for Moody and local candidates).

[MAINEiac4434]

This piece in the WSJ on ME-02 is good and it includes an almost throwaway line: Tom Saviello, a Republican member of the Maine House who twice supported Poliquin, is backing Golden.

Saviello also raised money for Mills (he represents a district near her hometown in Farmington), and has openly said he will not endorse Moody and may back Hayes or Mills.

He's term limited, so press F to pay respects to the very last moderate Maine Republican.

[MAINEiac4434]

Golden's also getting attention from CNN:

https://www.cnn.com/videos/tv/2018/08/17/ip-maine-ad.cnn/video/playlists/inside-politics-highlights/

[MAINEiac4434]

Do you really think this district has moved that much right since the obama years

I think we can gain some of it back but I don't think we'll be getting Obama numbers there in the near future. Cain & Clinton weren't good fits for this district so seeing Golden's numbers will give us a better idea of where this area stands. Unfortunately, I think Maine Dems have gotten into the habit of relying on Portland/coastal areas too much and have let the rural inland areas get away from them. And their habit of being disconnected from district 2 really shows. Golden hasn't signed on to all of the national gun control measures floating around, but if he does, he completely blows his chance of winning this seat for Dems. District 2 is huge on hunting and guns yet Golden's gotten flack for being in line with his district on this. Too often we have Maine Dems, often from the first district, treating the second district like it's uber-liberal Portland. And it's not going to work. I'm hopeful we can turn it around though.  

I love golden, maybe my favorite dem this year, but if he loses, hopefully, Michaud or Baldacci snatch it back in 2020 and give coattails upballot.

Maine politics have passed Michaud and Baldacci behind. There just isn’t room for a bland, uninspiring centrist Dem anymore. It doesn’t get voters out. Baldacci lives in Portland now too.

[MAINEiac4434]

Lmao they're scared shitless

Trump-supporting super PAC plans to drop $1 million to help Rep. Poliquin

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[MAINEiac4434]

Holy fucking shit Bruce Poliquin is an absolute fucking idiot.

He's attacking Golden for his tattoos.

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[MAINEiac4434]

Also on my way to the parlor to get that tattooed on my back right now

[MAINEiac4434]

Chamber of Commerce on the air for Poliquin, highlighting his opposition to tariffs. Not sure how it might play in the second district, where lots of jobs have been lost to offshoring.

https://twitter.com/stevecollinssj/status/1034486449461256194?s=21

[MAINEiac4434]

I'm DYING at the tattoo ad. They're so scared of Golden and have nothing substantive to hit him on.

It’s such a blunder. It’s honestly offensive.

I can already imagine the rebuttal ad.

[somber music plays, picture of Golden and other Marines in Afghanistan].

[Golden reads names of fallen comrades in voice over]

[Cut to golden, standing in the woods]
That’s why I got this tattoo [points to tattoo], to commemorate my friends who died in Afghanistan.

But while they were dying, Bruce Poliquin was making his millions on Wall Street.

He and his Wall Street buddies can make fun of me all they want. But I will not stand for them insulting those who died defending our freedom.

As your congressman, I’ll always make sure to think of those who put everything on the line to protect America before every vote I cast. It’s the least I can do for those who made the ultimate sacrifice.

I’m Jared Golden, and I’ll always approve this message.

[MAINEiac4434]

Jared Golden's new ad literally has him feeding people while wearing a shirt saying "MARINES".

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HFIgJOcWyto

He is running a near-perfect campaign, hitting all the right notes. But it's still August, people really don't start paying attention until after Labor Day. His ads are everywhere and at this point I'm afraid of oversaturation.

[MAINEiac4434]

Jared Golden's new ad literally has him feeding people while wearing a shirt saying "MARINES".

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HFIgJOcWyto

He is running a near-perfect campaign, hitting all the right notes. But it's still August, people really don't start paying attention until after Labor Day. His ads are everywhere and at this point I'm afraid of oversaturation.

pretty solid ad

All of Golden's have been spectacular, and all of Poliquin's (including those by Poliquin-aligned special interests) have been pretty sub-par, as mentioned in this thread.

[MAINEiac4434]

Jared Golden is... really small. Much smaller than I expected, lol.

He’s like 5’9”

[MAINEiac4434]

That ad was absolutely terrible. Golden looks weak and small in stature. The ad plays out like an off brand male enhancement commercial. All it's missing is a scene with some old couple running through flowers. The "both sides need to get along" trope is so tired and feels especially out of place in the era of Trump and rampant Republican corruption. Idk, he kind of seems like a loser.

Say that to my face I daer you

[MAINEiac4434]

I think he's better than Lamb, who was very clean cut officer like who looked like a politician. Golden is more like a grunt, working class guy.

Well, he was a grunt. He volunteered after 9/11.

[MAINEiac4434]

Poliquin attack ad on Golden gets four Pinocchios from the Washington Post:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/politics/2018/08/31/fact-checking-republican-attack-ads-tight-house-races/?noredirect=on#click=https://t.co/NjLQcFEFpt

[MAINEiac4434]

https://twitter.com/mebeacon/status/1037376080921980928


Loliquin

[MAINEiac4434]

Jared Golden is extremely good at this:

https://twitter.com/golden4congress/status/1038870919953952768?s=21

[MAINEiac4434]

Now that's a much better ad. That last ad with the cookout was pretty lame, lol.

I thought it was funny that he missed the target after saying he was a straight shooter

yeah, that could actually backfire lol

He didn't; there's a hole right in the bullseye.

[MAINEiac4434]

Back to Lean R with the Siena poll. That was brutal.

I always trust polls where the republicans lead by 20 points among nonwhite voters and with only 11 people beneath the age of 30 polled