Brakey running for Maine senate seat

[MAINEiac4434]

It's "Brakey."

Anyway he's screwed. Angus is untouchable. Summers was a better candidate and King destroyed him in 2012.

[MAINEiac4434]

Somewhere between Likely and Safe D, especially with IRV voting. That being said, I'll never understand why Collins and King have such a wide appeal in Maine.

We love incumbents.

Likely D.

Is IRV actually happening? I haven't heard much on that.

It passed in November, but I believe it's subject to a court challenge.

Who?

Exactly.

[MAINEiac4434]

I know it passed in November, but I was wondering whether it will actually be in place in 2018.

Assuming it survives the court challenge, yes. It may not be decided by then, though.

[MAINEiac4434]

Brakey's logo let's you know exactly who he supported in the primary.



Rand should sue for copyright infringement.

Also yesterday, King came out against Gorsuch, which makes me think he's more concerned about a Democrat challenging him than a Republican.

[MAINEiac4434]

I'm getting a Josh Mandel vibe from Brakey, except this time it's actually a little boy running for the Senate seat.

Won't be surprised if we see him running in 2020 (if Collins retires), 2022 governor, 2024, any of those years for the house seat, etc., etc....

Yeah, he probably knows he's DOA against Angus, even if there is a real Democrat running. He probably also knows that the Dems are favored in the race for the Blaine House with LePage's unpopularity.

If he can get within 20 points of Angus, that'll look better on a resume than losing by five to a Democrat for governor.

[MAINEiac4434]

LePage is still running, right? If so, I think he will win the GOP primary relatively easily.

He's said multiple times he's challenging King, but he hasn't "officially launched a campaign" like Brakey has. And yeah, LePage is hugely popular among the Republicans here (but Brakey is definitely a better candidate against King).

[MAINEiac4434]

Bruce Poliquin should run, IMO.  He's also popular among the Paulist wing of the GOP.

He's gonna turn the second district into his personal fiefdom, he's not going to beat Angus because no one is going to beat Angus.

[MAINEiac4434]

I think King only faces the remote possibility of losing if IRV fails in the courts and the Democrats run a strong candidate.  Speaking of which, is there any realistic possibility of a Democrat running in this election, or can the state party either endorse King or be neutral?

Diane Russell, who made a name for herself as an extremely prominent Benie supporter, but finished third in her primary (out of three) in 2016 and faced questions about her ethics. Most prominent Dems (Alfond, Mills, Dunlap, Lee) are making overtures for Governor, because they realize that King is popular, the alternative is worse and that King is basically a Democrat.

[MAINEiac4434]

Unless a Democrat runs as well, King should be safe.

Unless a prominent Democrat runs as well. King beat a Democrat in 2012.

[MAINEiac4434]

Bruce Poliquin should run, IMO.  He's also popular among the Paulist wing of the GOP.

He should either run for reelection in his district or for governor (though that would be a risky move), but not against King.

Isn't having served as governor basically a prerequisite for being elected US senator in Maine?

Well, Collins ran for governor, but came in 3rd. And Snowe was First Lady, but not governor. If I recall correctly, the last governor to become senator before King was Muskie.

Mitchell also ran for governor but lost narrowly to Jim Longley.

[MAINEiac4434]

This guy looks like he has skeletons in his closet. Like, actual skeletons. That face screams "I have candy in my van". Angus isn't going anywhere. Dems should either fall in line behind him or nominate someone with no shot like that horrendous hack Cynthia Dill.

Diane Russell is interested, and she has those ethics investigations hanging over her head...