Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY) (user search)
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  Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)  (Read 202754 times)
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« on: April 11, 2017, 07:16:04 PM »

All of these ballots are out of Sedgwick.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #1 on: April 11, 2017, 07:18:13 PM »

I don't trust DDHQ as far as I can throw them after their incorrect calls in the D Michigan/Missouri Primaries. I'll stick to AP (by county), which does not show anything yet.

Just because they got a call incorrect doesn't mean there numbers are. I keep a weary eye on their calls as well though.
Those states were super close anyway. Only a couple thousand votes. As a matter of fact, Bernie led in Missouri all night until the very last precincts reported, giving Hillary a ~5,000 vote lead.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2017, 07:25:41 PM »


69-24 Trump; 11% of CD's votes in 2016 - with Sedgwick combined that was 81% of all 2016 votes.
Seems like a good sign, no?
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #3 on: April 11, 2017, 07:38:23 PM »

Haven't been this excited since November 8th...
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #4 on: April 11, 2017, 07:39:58 PM »

Can I just say that Sedgwick County desperately needs a web designer?
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #5 on: April 11, 2017, 07:42:46 PM »

If this seat is actually even competitive, then Democrats look poised to win control of the House and maybe even (somehow, despite the map) the Senate in the 2018 midterms.

There is a path to winning the senate. It's called forcing out McCaskill for Kander in Missouri, and winning a three-way (McMullin as Indy) in Utah.
Possibly upset Beto in TX? If Thompson wins this I wouldn't rule it out of the realms of possibility.
I mean, if Kansas-04 is swinging this hard against Trump, and assuming Trump doesn't right the ship and up his approvals, anything is possible.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #6 on: April 11, 2017, 07:48:10 PM »

From what I gather....turnout is abysmal without Trump on the ballot

Estes is basically seen as Brownback
I can understand that...Trump brought a lot of nonvoters out of the woodwork. But without Trump on the ballot, they don't get out. A bit like nonvoting Obama supporters.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #7 on: April 11, 2017, 07:50:10 PM »

Butler finally coming in...54-43 Estes.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #8 on: April 11, 2017, 07:55:49 PM »

With Edwards County coming in, Thompson's percentage is down by 0.8%.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #9 on: April 11, 2017, 07:58:01 PM »

Lol

Ryan Struyk @ryanstruyk  1h1 hour ago
In Mulvane, one of those crucial small towns near Wichita for Estes. Trump won 65-25% in November. Estes is BEHIND 64-36% in early returns.
Oh. My. God.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #10 on: April 11, 2017, 08:03:46 PM »

Pawne was 117-18 for Pompeo and it's only 44-18 for Estes.
Gotta love those 18 Dems.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #11 on: April 11, 2017, 08:05:49 PM »

Woah, are these Sumner numbers for real?
Not according to the SoS's website, they have one precinct reporting with Estes up 181-160.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #12 on: April 11, 2017, 08:07:31 PM »

Pawne was 117-18 for Pompeo and it's only 44-18 for Estes.
Gotta love those 18 Dems.

It's like "300" but with 18 Kansas liberals, lol
"THIS. IS. KANSAS."
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #13 on: April 11, 2017, 08:08:42 PM »

AP has Harvey at Thompson 59 Estes 40
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #14 on: April 11, 2017, 08:12:35 PM »

2 precincts out of 257
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #15 on: April 11, 2017, 08:17:46 PM »

Comanche just dumped. 278-90 in favor of Estes.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #16 on: April 11, 2017, 08:19:05 PM »

Thompson's lead dipped below 4,000.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #17 on: April 11, 2017, 08:31:03 PM »

Somewhere just dumped, and the lead has been cut to 1,500 for Thompson.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #18 on: April 11, 2017, 08:33:35 PM »

I'm reminded of election night...

"Miami is still out,"

"Cleveland is still out,"

"Detroit is still out,"
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #19 on: April 11, 2017, 08:38:04 PM »

Elk coming through for Thompson.

95-10, but still.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #20 on: April 11, 2017, 08:38:47 PM »

Elk coming through for Thompson.

95-10, but still.
It was a mistake. Estes 358-Thompson 90.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #21 on: April 11, 2017, 08:41:25 PM »

Kingman dumped, down to just about 600 votes.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #22 on: April 11, 2017, 08:42:45 PM »

I feel like I'm two refreshes away from a 1,000 vote Estes lead.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #23 on: April 11, 2017, 08:43:42 PM »

200 votes now.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #24 on: April 11, 2017, 08:44:25 PM »

Estes just took the lead.
Logged
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